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Scholars Float Political Intervention Against Solar Geoengineering

Scholars Float Political Intervention Against Solar Geoengineering

Photo: Lenstravelier/Unsplash

On January 17, a coalition of scientists and governance scholars launched an initiative calling for a ban on studies and deployment of solar geoengineering technologies. The coalition’s members have an ‘open letter’ that is pasted in full below, followed by the list of signatories – one of whom is author Amitav Ghosh.

For more on this initiative, read this article.

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Solar geoengineering – a set of hypothetical technologies to reduce incoming sunlight on Earth – is gaining prominence in debates on climate policy. Several scientists have launched research projects on solar geoengineering, and some see it as a potential future policy option.

To us, these proliferating calls for solar geoengineering research and development are cause for alarm. We share three fundamental concerns:

First, the risks of solar geoengineering are poorly understood and can never be fully known. Impacts will vary across regions, and there are uncertainties about the effects on weather patterns, agriculture, and the provision of basic needs of food and water.

Second, speculative hopes about the future availability of solar geoengineering technologies threaten commitments to mitigation and can disincentivise governments, businesses, and societies to do their utmost to achieve decarbonisation or carbon neutrality as soon as possible. The speculative possibility of future solar geoengineering risks becoming a powerful argument for industry lobbyists, climate denialists, and some governments to delay decarbonisation policies.

Third, the current global governance system is unfit to develop and implement the far-reaching agreements needed to maintain fair, inclusive, and effective political control over solar geoengineering deployment. The United Nations General Assembly, the United Nations Environment Programme or the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change are all incapable of guaranteeing equitable and effective multilateral control over deployment of solar geoengineering technologies at planetary scale. The United Nations Security Council, dominated by only five
countries with veto power, lacks the global legitimacy that would be required to effectively regulate solar geoengineering deployment.

These concerns also arise with informal governance arrangements such as multi-stakeholder dialogues or voluntary codes of conduct. Informal arrangements face barriers to entry by less powerful actors and risk contributing to premature legitimisation of these speculative technologies. Science networks are dominated by a few industrialised countries, with less economically powerful countries having little or no direct control over them. Technocratic governance based on expert commissions cannot adjudicate complex global conflicts over values, risk allocation and differences in risk acceptance that arise within the context of solar geoengineering.

Without effective global and democratic controls, the geopolitics of possible unilateral deployment of solar geoengineering would be frightening and inequitable. Given the anticipated low monetary costs of some of these technologies, there is a risk that a few powerful countries would engage in solar geoengineering unilaterally or in small coalitions even when a majority of countries oppose such deployment.

In short, solar geoengineering deployment cannot be governed globally in a fair, inclusive, and effective manner. We therefore call for immediate political action from governments, the United Nations, and other actors to prevent the normalisation of solar geoengineering as a climate policy option. Governments and the United Nations should take effective political control and restrict the development of solar geoengineering technologies before it is too late. We advocate for an International Non-Use Agreement on Solar Geoengineering specifically targeted against the development and deployment of such technologies at planetary scale.

The International Non-Use Agreement on Solar Geoengineering should commit governments to five core
prohibitions and measures:

  1. The commitment to prohibit their national funding agencies from supporting the development of technologies for solar geoengineering, domestically and through international institutions.
  2. The commitment to ban outdoor experiments of solar geoengineering technologies in areas under their jurisdiction.
  3. The commitment to not grant patent rights for technologies for solar geoengineering, including supporting technologies such as for the retrofitting of airplanes for aerosol injections.
  4. The commitment to not deploy technologies for solar geoengineering if developed by third parties.
  5. The commitment to object to future institutionalisation of planetary solar geoengineering as a policy option in relevant international institutions, including assessments by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.

An International Non-Use Agreement on Solar Geoengineering would not prohibit atmospheric or climate research as such, and it would not place broad limitations on academic freedom. The agreement would instead focus solely on a specific set of measures targeted purely at restricting the development of solar geoengineering technologies under the jurisdiction of the parties to the agreement.

International political control over the development of contested, high-stakes technologies with planetary risks is not unprecedented. The international community has a rich history of international restrictions and moratoria over activities and technologies judged to be too dangerous or undesirable. This history demonstrates that international bans on the development of specific technologies do not limit legitimate research or stifle scientific innovation. In addition, an International Non-Use Agreement on Solar Geoengineering could include exceptions for less dangerous approaches, for example by allowing the use of localised surface albedo-related technologies that pose few cross-regional or global risks.

In sum, an International Non-Use Agreement on Solar Geoengineering would be timely, feasible, and effective. It would inhibit further normalisation and development of a risky and poorly understood set of technologies that seek to intentionally manage incoming sunlight at planetary scale. And it would do so without restricting legitimate climate research. Decarbonisation of our economies is feasible if the right steps are taken. Solar geoengineering is not necessary. Neither is it desirable, ethical, or politically governable in the current context.

Given the increasing normalisation of solar geoengineering research, a strong political message to block these technologies is required. An International Non-Use Agreement on Solar Geoengineering is needed now.

Initiators of the letter:

  1. Frank Biermann
  2. Jeroen Oomen
  3. Aarti Gupta
  4. Saleem H. Ali
  5. Ken Conca
  6. Maarten A. Hajer
  7. Prakash Kashwan
  8. Louis Kotzé
  9. Melissa Leach
  10. Dirk Messner
  11. Chukwumerije Okereke
  12. Åsa Persson
  13. Janez Potočnik
  14. David Schlosberg
  15. Michelle Scobie
  16. Stacy D. Vandeveer

Signatories:

  1. Prof. Julian Agyeman, FRSA, FRGS
  2. Prof. Steven Bernstein
  3. Prof. Michele Betsill
  4. Prof. Harriet Bulkeley, FBA, FAcSS
  5. Prof. Jennifer Clapp
  6. Prof. Wolfgang Cramer
  7. Prof. Simon Dalby
  8. Prof. Peter Dauvergne
  9. Prof. John S. Dryzek
  10. Prof. Robyn Eckersley
  11. Prof. Arturo Escobar
  12. Dr. Amitav Ghosh
  13. Prof. Alex Godoy-Faúndez
  14. Prof. Christopher Gordon
  15. Prof. Clive Hamilton
  16. Prof. Matthew Hoffmann
  17. Prof. Anna-Katharina Hornidge
  18. Prof. Mike Hulme
  19. Asst. Prof. Dhanasree Jayaram
  20. Prof. Jean Jouzel
  21. Prof. Patricia Kameri-Mbote
  22. Asst. Prof. Rakhyun E. Kim
  23. Prof. Tatiana Kluvánková
  24. Prof. Miriam Lang
  25. Prof. Hervé Le Treut
  26. Prof. Enrique Leff
  27. Prof. Philip Macnaghten
  28. Prof. Duncan McLaren
  29. Prof. Peter Newell
  30. Prof. Karen O’Brien
  31. Prof. Sebastian Oberthür
  32. Prof. Hiroshi Ohta
  33. Prof. Lennart Olsson
  34. Prof. Daniel Panario
  35. Prof. Matthew Paterson
  36. Prof. Raymond T. Pierrehumbert, FRS
  37. Prof. Stefan Rahmstorf
  38. Prof. Eduardo S. Brondizio
  39. Prof. Mary Scholes
  40. Prof. Imme Scholz
  41. Prof. Clifford Shearing
  42. Prof. Jennie C. Stephens
  43. Prof. Jack Stilgoe
  44. Asst. Prof. Yixian Sun
  45. Prof. Oran Young
  46. Asst. Prof. Margaretha Wewerinke-Singh
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